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DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: 4th-most in football.

In this game, DeVonta Smith is projected by the model to find himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.9 targets.

With an exceptional 4.3 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith ranks as one of the top WRs in the league in football.

DeVonta Smith has been one of the most reliable receivers in football, catching an exceptional 82.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.

The predictive model expects the Eagles as the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 7th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Eagles.

DeVonta Smith's 58.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 65.6.

The New York Giants linebackers grade out as the 10th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

More DeVonta Smith Player Props

DeVonta Smith ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 6