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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+118/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +138 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the projections to call 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (38.2 per game) this year.
  • With an extraordinary 97.0% Route Participation Rate (97th percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith ranks among the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • DeVonta Smith ranks as one of the best wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 4.4 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.4%) to wideouts this year (61.4%).

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