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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles

DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles offensive strategy to tilt 3.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.

The 3rd-most plays in the league have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).

DeVonta Smith has run a route on 96.0% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.

In this week's game, DeVonta Smith is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.7 targets.

DeVonta Smith checks in as one of the best WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 5.1 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 50.2% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have only 125.4 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

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