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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-117/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles will be forced to start backup quarterback Tanner McKee in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 126.9 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) this year.
  • With a remarkable 98.0% Route% (100th percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith rates among the wide receivers with the most usage in the NFL.
  • In this week's contest, DeVonta Smith is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 88th percentile among wideouts with 7.2 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 52.7% of their downs: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.
  • DeVonta Smith's 4.2 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates a significant decline in his pass-catching ability over last year's 5.2 rate.
  • DeVonta Smith's 68.0% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a material decrease in his receiving prowess over last season's 80.8% rate.

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