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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeVonta Smith has run a route on 98.3% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.
  • In this game, DeVonta Smith is forecasted by the projections to position himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 6.9 targets.
  • The Eagles O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • With a fantastic 4.4 adjusted catches per game (91st percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith rates as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.
  • This year, the shaky Washington Commanders pass defense has yielded a monstrous 68.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 4th-largest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.32 seconds per play.
  • DeVonta Smith's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 80.8% to 69.1%.

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