DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

DeVonta Smith has run a route on 98.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs.

The model projects DeVonta Smith to accrue 6.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to WRs.

DeVonta Smith ranks as one of the best pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a terrific 4.9 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.8%) versus wideouts this year (69.8%).

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's safety corps has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 12.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.68 seconds per play) will have the 11th-worst tempo out of all the games this week.

The 7th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles this year (a lowly 54.0 per game on average).

The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

More DeVonta Smith Player Props

DeVonta Smith ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 15