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DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-103/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the projections to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

With an impressive 98.5% Route Participation Rate (100th percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith ranks among the WRs with the highest volume in the league.

Our trusted projections expect DeVonta Smith to earn 7.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

DeVonta Smith grades out as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an outstanding 5.0 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.

The Bears pass defense has given up the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (66.6%) versus wide receivers this year (66.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a massive 7-point favorite this week.

The model projects the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Eagles this year (a measly 54.3 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.

More DeVonta Smith Player Props

DeVonta Smith ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 13