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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-111/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The Cowboys defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.
  • With an extraordinary 98.3% Route Participation Rate (100th percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith ranks among the wide receivers with the most usage in football.
  • The predictive model expects DeVonta Smith to earn 7.2 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • With an outstanding 4.9 adjusted receptions per game (92nd percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith has been among the top WRs in the game in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see only 126.1 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 54.3 per game on average).
  • DeVonta Smith's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 80.8% to 72.2%.

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