reorder

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

With a sizeable 98.2% Route% (100th percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith rates among the WRs with the biggest workloads in football.

This week, DeVonta Smith is predicted by the model to place in the 79th percentile among wide receivers with 6.9 targets.

DeVonta Smith has been one of the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 5.5 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 97th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see just 124.1 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, ranking as the best in football.

More DeVonta Smith Player Props

DeVonta Smith ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 10