DeVonta Smith Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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DeVonta Smith

NFL · Player Props

DeVonta Smith

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.58 seconds per play.
DeVonta Smith has run a route on 95.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects DeVonta Smith to accrue 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among WRs.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.
DeVonta Smith's receiving skills have been refined this season, notching 5.0 yards per game compared to just 3.6 last season.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.

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