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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.58 seconds per play.
  • DeVonta Smith has run a route on 95.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
  • THE BLITZ projects DeVonta Smith to accrue 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among WRs.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.
  • DeVonta Smith's receiving skills have been refined this season, notching 5.0 yards per game compared to just 3.6 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.

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