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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 76.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • With a top-tier 98.0% Route% (99th percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith ranks as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in the league.
  • The projections expect DeVonta Smith to accumulate 9.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • DeVonta Smith has notched many more air yards this season (81.0 per game) than he did last season (66.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Eagles are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.63 seconds per snap.
  • DeVonta Smith's skills in generating extra yardage have diminished this season, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.53 figure last season.
  • The New York Giants linebackers grade out as the 8th-best group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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