DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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DeVonta Smith

NFL · Player Props

DeVonta Smith

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants · Week 8, 2025

Updated Oct 26, 2025 8:07 PM EST

Analysis

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 76.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
With a top-tier 98.0% Route% (99th percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith ranks as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in the league.
The projections expect DeVonta Smith to accumulate 9.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs.
DeVonta Smith has notched many more air yards this season (81.0 per game) than he did last season (66.0 per game).

Favors Under

With a 7-point advantage, the Eagles are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.63 seconds per snap.
DeVonta Smith's skills in generating extra yardage have diminished this season, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.53 figure last season.
The New York Giants linebackers grade out as the 8th-best group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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