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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 47.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are projected by the projections to run 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The leading projections forecast DeVonta Smith to accumulate 7.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among wide receivers.
  • When it comes to air yards, DeVonta Smith ranks in the towering 77th percentile among wide receivers this year, averaging a striking 65.0 per game.
  • The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all air attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Eagles as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
  • DeVonta Smith has been much less involved in his team's pass attack this season (22.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (27.9%).
  • DeVonta Smith's talent in generating extra yardage have tailed off this season, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.53 figure last season.

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