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DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: 4th-most in football.

In this game, DeVonta Smith is projected by the model to find himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.9 targets.

When talking about air yards, DeVonta Smith ranks in the towering 75th percentile among WRs this year, accumulating a striking 66.0 per game.

DeVonta Smith has been one of the most reliable receivers in football, catching an exceptional 82.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among WRs.

The New York Giants defense has given up the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (167.0) versus wide receivers this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.

The predictive model expects the Eagles as the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 7th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Eagles.

DeVonta Smith's 58.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 65.6.

DeVonta Smith has posted quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (45.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).

More DeVonta Smith Player Props

DeVonta Smith Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6