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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-114/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the projections to call 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Denver Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (38.2 per game) this year.

With an extraordinary 97.0% Route Participation Rate (97th percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith ranks among the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.

DeVonta Smith's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 80.8% to 84.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

After accruing 66.0 air yards per game last year, DeVonta Smith has regressed heavily this year, currently boasting 51.0 per game.

DeVonta Smith has totaled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (44.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).

DeVonta Smith's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this season, averaging just 8.42 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.68 figure last season.

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