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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Philadelphia Eagles feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

The projections expect the Eagles to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.5 plays per game.

When talking about air yards, DeVonta Smith grades out in the towering 76th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, accumulating a whopping 64.0 per game.

With a terrific 59.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (84th percentile) since the start of last season, DeVonta Smith stands among the leading WRs in the game in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 49.8% of their chances: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

While DeVonta Smith has received 27.1% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a less important option in Philadelphia's passing offense in this contest at 22.0%.

Since the start of last season, the daunting Rams defense has allowed a paltry 60.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Rams pass defense has allowed the 9th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a meager 3.7 YAC.

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