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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Eagles offensive strategy to tilt 3.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.
  • The 3rd-most plays in the league have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).
  • DeVonta Smith has run a route on 96.0% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.
  • In this week's game, DeVonta Smith is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.7 targets.
  • DeVonta Smith has earned a staggering 32.8% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 91st percentile when it comes to wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 50.2% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have only 125.4 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • DeVonta Smith grades out as one of the worst wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 1st percentile.
  • Since the start of last season, the strong Kansas City Chiefs defense has conceded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a meager 7.7 yards.

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