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DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-113/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

With an elite 98.2% Route Participation Rate (100th percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith stands among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.

In this game, DeVonta Smith is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 79th percentile among WRs with 6.9 targets.

After accruing 66.0 air yards per game last year, DeVonta Smith has shown good development this year, currently pacing 86.0 per game.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 52.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

DeVonta Smith's 53.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year indicates an impressive decrease in his receiving talent over last year's 63.0 rate.

More DeVonta Smith Player Props

DeVonta Smith Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17