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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 52.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeVonta Smith has run a route on 98.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • The model projects DeVonta Smith to accrue 6.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • After totaling 66.0 air yards per game last season, DeVonta Smith has undergone big improvement this season, currently pacing 88.0 per game.
  • DeVonta Smith comes in as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 59.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 92nd percentile.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.8%) versus wideouts this year (69.8%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.68 seconds per play) will have the 11th-worst tempo out of all the games this week.
  • The 7th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles this year (a lowly 54.0 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

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