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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-104/+101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.
  • With an elite 98.1% Route Participation% (100th percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith ranks as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in football.
  • The predictive model expects DeVonta Smith to earn 7.1 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among WRs.
  • DeVonta Smith has accumulated far more air yards this season (89.0 per game) than he did last season (66.0 per game).
  • With an excellent 61.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (93rd percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith rates as one of the top WRs in the NFL in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 52.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to see just 124.9 offensive plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 53.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: fewest in football.
  • DeVonta Smith's 69.1% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a noteable drop-off in his receiving prowess over last season's 80.8% mark.

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