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DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-114/-114).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 62.5 @ -114.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.The Cowboys defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.With an extraordinary 98.3% Route Participation Rate (100th percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith ranks among the wide receivers with the most usage in football.The predictive model expects DeVonta Smith to earn 7.2 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.DeVonta Smith has accumulated significantly more air yards this season (85.0 per game) than he did last season (66.0 per game).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see only 126.1 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 54.3 per game on average).DeVonta Smith's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 80.8% to 72.2%.
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