|
|
DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-107/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ -107.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
With a high 98.1% Route% (100th percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith ranks as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the NFL.Our trusted projections expect DeVonta Smith to earn 7.4 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among wideouts.After accruing 66.0 air yards per game last season, DeVonta Smith has seen a big uptick this season, now pacing 84.0 per game.DeVonta Smith comes in as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 67.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.DeVonta Smith profiles as one of the most effective receivers in the league, averaging an outstanding 9.61 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 81st percentile among wide receivers.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
The predictive model expects the Eagles as the 4th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have only 126.8 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.9 plays per game.Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with worse passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and increased rush volume.DeVonta Smith's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 80.8% to 76.3%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
