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DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-105/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

With a sizeable 98.2% Route% (100th percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith rates among the WRs with the biggest workloads in football.

This week, DeVonta Smith is predicted by the model to place in the 79th percentile among wide receivers with 6.9 targets.

After accruing 66.0 air yards per game last season, DeVonta Smith has made big progress this season, now pacing 85.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see just 124.1 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).

DeVonta Smith's skills in generating extra yardage have declined this year, compiling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.53 rate last year.

The Packers pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus wideouts this year, giving up 7.57 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in the league.

More DeVonta Smith Player Props

DeVonta Smith Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10