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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive blueprint to lean 3.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the predictive model to call 65.8 total plays in this contest: the 6th-most among all teams this week.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Eagles last year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).

DeVonta Smith has run a route on 96.1% of his offense's passing plays last year, placing him in the 96th percentile among WRs.

The predictive model expects DeVonta Smith to accumulate 6.2 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the Eagles, who are heavily favored by 7.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 49.5% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense last year: 4th-fewest in football.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Eagles grades out as the 7th-worst in the league last year.

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