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Devon Achane Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers

Devon Achane Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (59.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Dolphins.

The model projects De'Von Achane to be a more integral piece of his team's passing attack near the goal line in this week's game (19.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (13.6% in games he has played).

De'Von Achane has posted a colossal 2.0 air yards per game this year: 82nd percentile among RBs. (This might not seem like a lot, but most RBs average negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by our trusted projection set to call just 61.5 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Dolphins have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 49.8 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.2 per game) this year.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the worst in football this year.

De'Von Achane's 76.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a noteable reduction in his receiving ability over last season's 92.3% mark.

More Devon Achane Player Props

Devon Achane TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers

Devon Achane Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6