My Account Log Out

reorder

Devon Achane

Devon Achane Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs Miami Dolphins

Devon Achane Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-124/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL in the red zone (58.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.

The model projects De'Von Achane to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing game near the end zone in this contest (18.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (13.3% in games he has played).

De'Von Achane's 32.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 22.4.

With an outstanding rate of 0.40 per game through the air (98th percentile), De'Von Achane ranks among the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the league among RBs this year.

The Panthers linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 59.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (just 49.8 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

De'Von Achane's 72.6% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects an impressive regression in his receiving prowess over last year's 92.3% figure.

More Devon Achane Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™