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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Devon Achane Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-118/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to be the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.9% red zone pass rate.

The projections expect De'Von Achane to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game near the end zone in this contest (19.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (11.1% in games he has played).

De'Von Achane ranks in the 100th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.50 per game.

With an awful rate of just 0.00 rushing touchdowns per game (1st percentile), De'Von Achane places as one of the worst rushing touchdown-scorers in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.0 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a lowly 30.4 per game) since the start of last season.

While De'Von Achane has received 33.3% of his team's red zone carries in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Miami's ground game near the end zone in this contest at 43.4%.

When it comes to air yards, De'Von Achane grades out in the paltry 14th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, accruing just -2.0 per game.

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