My Account Log Out

reorder

Devon Achane

Devon Achane Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Devon Achane Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a massive 11.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to be the most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Dolphins to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 61.2% red zone pass rate.

With a remarkable 16.0% Red Zone Target% (97th percentile) since the start of last season, De'Von Achane places as one of the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume near the end zone in football.

De'Von Achane's 23.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the league leaders: 99th percentile for running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Dolphins to run the 2nd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

As it relates to air yards, De'Von Achane ranks in the paltry 15th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, accruing just -2.0 per game.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

De'Von Achane's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 92.4% to 77.6%.

With a terrific rate of 0.32 TDs on the ground per game (75th percentile), De'Von Achane places among the best rushing TD-scorers in the NFL since the start of last season.

More Devon Achane Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™