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Devon Achane Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Devon Achane Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-114/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

With an exceptional 19.2% Red Zone Target% (97th percentile) this year, De'Von Achane stands among the RB receiving threats with the highest volume near the end zone in the league.

In regards to air yards, De'Von Achane ranks in the towering 94th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a superb 4.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more impressive than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

De'Von Achane's 33.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 22.4.

With a fantastic rate of 0.24 per game through the air (93rd percentile), De'Von Achane rates as one of the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the league among running backs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dolphins to pass on 54.9% of their chances: the 10th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to be the 10th-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 47.0% red zone run rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 124.6 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.

The 2nd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (a measly 51.9 per game on average).

When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Dolphins ranks as the worst in the league this year.

More Devon Achane Player Props

Devon Achane TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Devon Achane Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17