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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Devon Achane Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-172/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -162 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -172.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • De'Von Achane has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 19.2% this year, which puts him in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • De'Von Achane has accumulated a staggering 5.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • De'Von Achane's 34.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 22.4.
  • De'Von Achane ranks in the 97th percentile among running backs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging an excellent 0.25 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins as the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 51.9 plays per game.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins grades out as the worst in football this year.
  • De'Von Achane's 76.7% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a material diminishment in his receiving ability over last season's 92.4% rate.

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