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Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-111/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -111.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The model projects De'Von Achane to total 13.7 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among RBs.After taking on 46.4% of his team's rush attempts last year, De'Von Achane has been more involved in the ground game this year, now accounting for 65.0%.With an exceptional tally of 53.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (82nd percentile), De'Von Achane ranks as one of the best pure rushers in the league this year.Devon Achane's 3.96 yards-after-contact this season marks a significant boost in his rushing skills over last season's 2.91 mark.The Falcons defense has had the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, surrendering 4.84 adjusted yards-per-carry.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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At a -7-point disadvantage, the Dolphins are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a focus on throwing than their normal approach.The model projects the Dolphins as the 3rd-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.3% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to call the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 60.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.The Miami Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 50.4 plays per game.The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
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