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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (+104/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

De'Von Achane has been a more integral piece of his team's ground game this season (60.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (46.4%).

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, New York's DE corps has been atrocious since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to run on 40.9% of their plays: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.0 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

De'Von Achane has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (31.0) this year than he did last year (49.0).

Since the start of last season, the shaky New York Jets run defense has conceded a massive 4.39 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing ground game: the 14th-highest rate in the NFL.

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