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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 72.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 74.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 4th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (44.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.
  • In this week's game, De'Von Achane is expected by the projections to rank in the 88th percentile among RBs with 16.6 carries.
  • De'Von Achane has been a much bigger part of his team's running game this season (62.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (46.4%).
  • De'Von Achane's 68.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season indicates a remarkable progression in his rushing ability over last season's 50.0 rate.
  • De'Von Achane's 5.3 adjusted yards per carry this season illustrates a remarkable progression in his running ability over last season's 4.2 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 124.6 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
  • The 2nd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (a measly 51.9 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 103.0 per game) vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Tampa Bay's collection of DTs has been great this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the league.

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