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Devon Achane Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders

Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 81.5 (-127/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 78.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 81.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins rank as the 8th-most run-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 41.5% run rate.

The model projects De'Von Achane to total 15.3 carries in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs.

After making up 46.4% of his team's run game usage last season, De'Von Achane has been more involved in the run game this season, currently making up 65.9%.

De'Von Achane has rushed for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (63.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).

Devon Achane's 4.11 yards-after-contact this year marks a noteable boost in his rushing talent over last year's 2.91 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by the model to run just 62.4 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

The 4th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (only 51.7 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Washington's collection of DEs has been excellent this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

More Devon Achane Player Props

Devon Achane Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders

Devon Achane Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11