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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 71.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL last year, totaling a whopping 59.7 plays per game.

In this week's contest, Devon Achane is expected by the projections to rank in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs with 13.0 rush attempts.

While Devon Achane has been responsible for 46.4% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played last year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Miami's running game this week at 56.7%.

With an excellent record of 49.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (75th percentile), Devon Achane ranks among the top pure runners in the league last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dolphins to run on 37.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are anticipated by the model to run just 61.6 total plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.

Last year, the porous Indianapolis Colts run defense has been gouged for a massive 4.37 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's ground game: the 24th-highest rate in the league.

The Indianapolis defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL last year when it comes to run defense.

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