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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Miami Dolphins vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Devon Achane Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-165/+123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -162 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Dolphins, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 61.8% of their downs: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (39.7 per game) this year.
  • Our trusted projections expect De'Von Achane to accrue 7.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • De'Von Achane's 21.2% Target% this season reflects a noteworthy boost in his passing game utilization over last season's 15.3% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Dolphins to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 59.4 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (just 51.8 per game on average).
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Dolphins profiles as the worst in football this year.
  • De'Von Achane's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 92.3% to 73.9%.

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