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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Devon Achane Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-149/+134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -157 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -149.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • De'Von Achane has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this season (77.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (61.2%).
  • In this contest, De'Von Achane is forecasted by the projections to slot into the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs with 7.4 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by our trusted projection set to call just 61.5 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 49.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.2 per game) this year.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the worst in football this year.
  • De'Von Achane's 3.6 adjusted catches per game this season shows a substantial decrease in his receiving skills over last season's 4.6 figure.

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