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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Devon Achane Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-123/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a massive 11.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to be the most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast De'Von Achane to notch 7.0 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among running backs.

With an elite 16.0% Target% (99th percentile) since the start of last season, De'Von Achane stands among the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the NFL.

With a stellar 4.7 adjusted catches per game (99th percentile) since the start of last season, De'Von Achane has been as one of the leading pass-game running backs in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Dolphins to run the 2nd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

De'Von Achane's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 92.4% to 77.6%.

The Buffalo Bills pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.1%) versus running backs since the start of last season (78.1%).

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