Devon Achane Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Devon Achane Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+106).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

De'Von Achane has been used more as a potential target this year (73.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (61.2%).

In this game, De'Von Achane is predicted by the projection model to land in the 95th percentile among RBs with 5.8 targets.

With an impressive 3.7 adjusted receptions per game (96th percentile) this year, De'Von Achane rates as one of the top pass-catching RBs in the league.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (90%) vs. running backs this year (90.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dolphins to pass on 54.9% of their chances: the 10th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 124.6 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.

The 2nd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (a measly 51.9 per game on average).

When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Dolphins ranks as the worst in the league this year.

De'Von Achane's 77.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a noteable decrease in his receiving proficiency over last season's 92.4% figure.

More Devon Achane Player Props

Devon Achane ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Devon Achane Receptions
Player Prop Week 17