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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Devon Achane Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-107/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • De'Von Achane has been used more as a potential target this year (74.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (61.2%).
  • The projections expect De'Von Achane to accrue 6.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
  • With a stellar 4.1 adjusted catches per game (99th percentile) this year, De'Von Achane has been as one of the top pass-game running backs in the league.
  • The Jets linebackers project as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 57.8% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-least pass-focused team in the league has been the Miami Dolphins.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are predicted by the projection model to call only 63.6 total plays in this contest: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 52.0 plays per game.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • De'Von Achane's 74.5% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a remarkable regression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 92.3% rate.

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