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Devon Achane Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints

Devon Achane Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+121/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +113 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

De'Von Achane's 74.6% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a significant progression in his passing game utilization over last year's 61.2% rate.

The projections expect De'Von Achane to accrue 7.4 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.

De'Von Achane has been one of the best running backs in the pass game this year, averaging a stellar 4.5 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 99th percentile.

The Saints pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (90.6%) to running backs this year (90.6%).

The New Orleans Saints safeties rank as the 9th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 54.6% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Right now, the most sluggish paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Saints, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a measly 28.6 per game) this year.

More Devon Achane Player Props

Devon Achane ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 13

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints

Devon Achane Receptions
Player Prop Week 13