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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

Devon Achane Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-122/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 62.5% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The Dolphins have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL last year, totaling a whopping 59.7 plays per game.

In this contest, Devon Achane is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.8 targets.

Devon Achane has been a big part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 15.3% last year, which puts him in the 99th percentile among RBs.

With a fantastic 4.6 adjusted receptions per game (99th percentile) last year, Devon Achane has been as one of the top pass-game RBs in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are anticipated by the model to run just 61.6 total plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.

In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Dolphins ranks as the 10th-worst in football last year.

More Devon Achane Player Props

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