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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Dolphins are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a focus on throwing than their normal approach.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Miami Dolphins to pass on 62.7% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
  • Our trusted projections expect De'Von Achane to accumulate 7.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • De'Von Achane has been a much bigger part of his offense's air attack this season (21.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (15.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to call the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 60.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 50.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Atlanta Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 27.2 per game) this year.
  • The Dolphins offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • De'Von Achane's 27.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year conveys a noteworthy regression in his pass-catching talent over last year's 35.0 rate.

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