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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+105/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (62.2% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Dolphins.
  • De'Von Achane's 78.5% Route Participation% this year represents an impressive gain in his passing offense usage over last year's 61.2% figure.
  • This week, De'Von Achane is expected by the model to land in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs with 7.0 targets.
  • In regards to air yards, De'Von Achane ranks in the lofty 85th percentile among RBs this year, accumulating a striking 2.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more notable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by the model to call only 62.2 total plays in this game: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 49.8 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year.

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