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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-111/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a massive 11.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to be the most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast De'Von Achane to notch 7.0 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among running backs.

With an elite 16.0% Target% (99th percentile) since the start of last season, De'Von Achane stands among the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the NFL.

With an excellent 38.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (99th percentile) since the start of last season, De'Von Achane ranks as one of the top RBs in the pass game in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Dolphins to run the 2nd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

As it relates to air yards, De'Von Achane ranks in the paltry 15th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, accruing just -2.0 per game.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

De'Von Achane's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 92.4% to 77.6%.

De'Von Achane's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season marks a material diminishment in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 8.0% mark.

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