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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dolphins to pass on 61.0% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Dolphins since the start of last season (a monstrous 58.7 per game on average).

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.

The projections expect De'Von Achane to earn 5.2 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs.

De'Von Achane has been a big part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 15.2% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

When it comes to air yards, De'Von Achane grades out in the measly 15th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, accruing just -2.0 per game.

De'Von Achane is positioned as one of the weakest RBs in the league at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 3rd percentile.

The Patriots defense has conceded the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 24.0) vs. RBs since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the feeble New England Patriots defense has conceded the most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing running backs: a colossal 0.00 YAC.

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