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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • De'Von Achane has been used more as a potential target this year (74.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (61.2%).
  • The projections expect De'Von Achane to accrue 6.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
  • De'Von Achane has put up a whopping 3.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among running backs. (This may not sound too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).
  • The Jets pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency against running backs this year, allowing 6.78 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in the league.
  • The Jets linebackers project as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 57.8% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-least pass-focused team in the league has been the Miami Dolphins.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are predicted by the projection model to call only 63.6 total plays in this contest: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 52.0 plays per game.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • De'Von Achane has totaled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (29.0) this season than he did last season (35.0).

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