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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-135/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • De'Von Achane's 74.6% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a significant progression in his passing game utilization over last year's 61.2% rate.
  • The projections expect De'Von Achane to accrue 7.4 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
  • De'Von Achane has accumulated a staggering 3.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile when it comes to running backs. (This may not sound too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).
  • De'Von Achane has been one of the leading pass-game running backs this year, averaging an outstanding 32.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 97th percentile.
  • The Saints pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (90.6%) to running backs this year (90.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 54.6% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the most sluggish paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Saints, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a measly 28.6 per game) this year.

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