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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 62.5% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The Dolphins have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL last year, totaling a whopping 59.7 plays per game.

In this contest, Devon Achane is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.8 targets.

Devon Achane has been a big part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 15.3% last year, which puts him in the 99th percentile among RBs.

With a remarkable 36.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (100th percentile) last year, Devon Achane stands among the top running backs in the pass game in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are anticipated by the model to run just 61.6 total plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.

Devon Achane has put up a paltry -2.0 air yards per game last year: just 15th percentile when it comes to running backs.

In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Dolphins ranks as the 10th-worst in football last year.

Last year, the formidable Colts defense has surrendered the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a feeble 6.1 yards.

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