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Devon Achane Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/+105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The model projects De'Von Achane to total 13.7 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among RBs.After taking on 46.4% of his team's rush attempts last year, De'Von Achane has been more involved in the ground game this year, now accounting for 65.0%.When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's group of DTs has been terrible this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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At a -7-point disadvantage, the Dolphins are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a focus on throwing than their normal approach.The model projects the Dolphins as the 3rd-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.3% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to call the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 60.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.The Miami Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 50.4 plays per game.The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
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