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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Devon Achane Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-117/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • In this week's contest, De'Von Achane is anticipated by the model to find himself in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.3 carries.
  • De'Von Achane has been a more important option in his offense's ground game this season (65.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (46.4%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 10th-least run-centric team in the league (37.8% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Miami Dolphins.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by the model to call only 62.2 total plays in this game: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 49.8 plays per game.
  • The Cleveland defensive ends project as the best collection of DEs in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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